Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. 1 cornerstone. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. Barry Sanders 3. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Avoid. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. I would probably rank him around 43. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Yeah, us, too. No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. The Top Ten. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. He doesnt have that much of a skill set difference with Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed either. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. The Top Ten. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Single While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Has no highlight reel. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Edgerrin James 17. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Tony Dorsett 12. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. But drafting him as a high-upside No. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. Without the volume, he is hard to use. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. Yep. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB20 | Consensus Projections RB20. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. Photo: Isaiah J. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. We've seen J.D. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. Durability is atop the list after missing six games last year. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs. Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. 5. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. His value is trending in the wrong direction. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. . In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. . Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). Overall: 98 and 96. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. The current regime did not select Robinson. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Green Bay seems to like A.J. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. J.D. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. I am a heretic in that regard. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. . Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Jan 26 . Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Single Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. 1 status. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. My, my, how the game has changed. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Its a knock on his offensive line. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. I'm out. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. O.J. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. 20 20. The current regime did not select Robinson. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. only site on the planet. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. most overrated running backs of all time. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. 21 RB Sleepers. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020.